Weekend’s Best Bets 10/31-11/4

Last week was a strange week because of multiple line movements in both NCAA and NFL football. Based on the lines I posted on Thursday, I performed pretty well although the line movements would have had a negative effect had I placed the bets on game day. Still, I was over 4-1 in NFL games once again while I still struggled with NCAA games. As my twenty-fourth year approaches on Sunday, I think I will be entering my sports betting prime. Hopefully.

College Football

Credit: athlonsports.com

Last Week: 2-3

Overall: 4-11

Georgia Southern @ Appalachian State 10/31 8:00 PM EST

Appalachian State -14.5

This line opened at -15.5 and I will gladly take the point difference on this line. Appalachian State hasn’t lost since the last time they played Georgia Southern last year by a total of 20 points. I’m sure the Mountaineers haven’t forgotten about that loss just yet. I expect Appalachian State to keep rolling and win their fourteenth game in a row in a blowout.

Kansas State @ Kansas 11/02 3:30 PM EST

Kansas State -6

No letdown game here. The Wildcats are the real deal and beating Oklahoma was no fluke. Kansas State quarterback Skylar Thompson seemed locked in against the Sooners and I don’t think he’s done yet. The play calling against Oklahoma was also very impressive last week so despite Kansas putting up big numbers against Texas and Texas Tech the past two weeks I think their offensive explosion ends here.

UAB @ Tennessee 11/02 7:00 PM EST

UAB +12

I might even consider taking UAB +400 in this game because of how close they will be able to keep this one. Tennessee has already dropped a game to a mid-major team this year and the talented Blazers could deliver another mid-major loss to the Vols’ record. Tennessee’s offense has been incredibly inconsistent, therefore the Blazers cover this spread with good defense and a balanced offense.

Boise State @ San Jose State 11/02 10:30 PM EST

San Jose State +17

There is still no word on if Boise State’s true freshman quarterback, Hank Bachmeier, will be back from his hip injury for Saturday’s game. Despite if he plays or not, San Jose State should cover this spread. Throughout the season, the Spartans’ quarterback, Josh Love has been making his case for deserving a spot in the NFL. He has thrown for 2,355 yards to go along with 15 touchdowns and just 3 interceptions. I don’t see a scenario where Boise’s defense keeps Love in check so I have the Spartans keeping this one close.

Navy @ Connecticut 11/01 8:00 PM EST

Navy -27.5

I always seem to be on the wrong side of the huge spread in UConn games, however, I know for a fact Navy will score at least 40 points in this game. They have only scored less than 34 in one game this season which was their lone loss to Memphis. The Huskies are very bad on both sides of the ball so if their offense doesn’t show up the same way it did against an even worse UMass team, then Navy should have no issue covering this spread.

NFL

Dec 30, 2018; Houston, TX, USA; Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson (4) runs with the ball as Jacksonville Jaguars defensive end Calais Campbell (93) attempts to make a tackle during the third quarter at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Last Week: 4-1

Overall: 13-2-1

49ers @ Cardinals 10/31 8:20 PM EST

49ers -10

Last week I said the Niners were up against their first real test which was the Carolina Panthers. Safe to say they passed the test and also aced all the extra credit questions like the overachieving kid in algebra class. The Cardinals are without their top two running backs and Kenyan Drake has barely spent any time in Arizona to be able to handle a full playbook. That leaves Kyler Murray with too much responsibility to beat this impenetrable defense. San Francisco remains unbeaten in a blowout.

Texans @ Jaguars 11/03 9:30 AM EST

Over 46

Texans games have surpassed this total in all but two games this season while the Jaguars have only surpassed this total in three games. The last time these two teams faced off, the final score was 13-12 but that was before each team had players pile up on the injury report. In what is essentially a home game in London for Jacksonville who play there every year, I’m expecting a shootout.

Jets @ Dolphins 11/03 1:00 PM EST

Dolphins +140

I might be crazy taking this one but I honestly believe that the Dolphins have a more cohesive defense than the Jets. The Dolphins did lead the Steelers by 14 on Monday night while the Jets win over Dallas looks more and more like a fluke by the week. And despite being winless, the Dolphins still look like a team that’s trying to win but just don’t have the talent yet while the Jets seem like a team that’s trying to lose. I’m taking Miami to get their first win of the season.

Browns @ Broncos 11/03 4:25 PM EST

Browns -3.5

The Broncos are without Joe Flacco for 4-6 weeks making this a juicy matchup for the Browns defense. I think Baker Mayfield will do enough to propel his team to a victory by at least a touchdown in Denver. What I won’t be looking forward to is Mayfield’s post game interviews where he is way too high on himself after beating a below average team.

Buccaneers @ Seahawks 11/03 4:05 PM EST

Over 51.5

The Bucs have hit the over in 16 of their last 21 games on the road. This is largely due to Jameis Winston’s inconsistency. He’ll throw for about 350 yards and 3 touchdowns to complement his 4 interceptions allowing his opponent to score on a short field. The Seahawks have struggled on defense at home this season allowing an average of 28 points to their opponents. I wouldn’t be surprised if one of these teams covered the over on their own in this one.

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